A cold hard reason to get promoted..

The dreaded financials came out today - and it transpires that despite improving things on the balance book front, languishing in the third tier is still hitting Forest - or more accurately Nigel Doughty - pretty hard in the back pocket.  Hit for £4.2m for the year ending May 2007 to be precise.

This is actually an improvement on last year - when a comparable period saw £8m losses.  It is estimated that each season outside the Championship is costing the club £4-5m - which would imply that should we attain promotion and the costs remained similar, we should be just about breaking even - which is certainly a more healthy position than we’ve been used to.

Our turnover was £9.2m, the majority of which was swallowed up by staff costs rather unsurprisingly - despite a reduction of £1.2m in these.  All in all, it just goes to show what a ludicrous amount of money we spend really!  Gate receipts were up year on year, boosted by lucrative cup games against Charlton and Chelsea - as was commercial income from TV coverage of said games.

The reduction in staff costs was driven by players such as Paul Gerrard, Gareth Taylor, David Johnson, Neil Harris and Alan Rogers leaving - it’s hard to believe any of those perhaps with the exception of Gerrard and Johnson were on big money!  But apparently players acquired since these have been on more sustainable wages, with rewards built in for achievements - which I wholly approve of.

However, 90% of our turnover being taken up by staff costs is a rather ludicrous business model in anyone’s language - the ‘benchmark’ for clubs at our level is 75%.  This is where Nigel Doughty acting as sugar daddy comes in - as he’s able to absorb this rather unsustainable way of operating, which is why - whatever your stance on him - we’re certainly tied together for the forseeable.

The club acknowledge they are in excess of other clubs in the division, with operations such as the Academy which costs £1m a year, with only £130k funded by the Premier League and the FA.  This level of - in effect - overspending for our level underlines why nothing less than promotion this season is undoubtedly going to be considered a failure.

Given our spending in the summer, it would seem likely that a similar pattern will happen next season too - with a few significant purchases occuring preseason, not to mention a reduction in season ticket prices and so far, a slightly lower attendance number - and only one more chance at a cup run given our exits from the Carling Cup and JPT.

The cash put in by Nigel Doughty has been in the form of loans rather than gifts, whether this is due to some kind of convoluted business reasoning, or because he expects these loans to be repaid at some point remain to be seen - certainly it would take a real cynic to suggest he is investing his cash with an intent to turn a profit out of us, given our recent form.

6 Responses to “A cold hard reason to get promoted..”

  1. Kieran Says:

    I figure that Doughty is covering himself incase the club is bought out in the future so that he will be in a position to claim back some of these ‘loans’. Otherwise if he’s in for the long term, which given the stadium plans ongoing he must be, he must realise that Forest will not really be in a position to pay back these loans unless we get back in the Premier League…perhaps another hope for Doughty.

    I was suprised to see that we still have the £3-4 mil debt to the Council though. If I remember correctly Mr Pelling very proudly announced that this was paid off last year and that Forest no longer owed any money to outside creditors…?

  2. George A Says:

    Interesting reading in another weblog (which shall remain nameless!) that many are still suspicious of Doughty.

    Yes, hes a businessman and yes, he may want something out of his loans to the club BUT I still believe the club would not be in existence if it wasn’t for him.

    Surely we should be grateful for that simple fact?

  3. JG Says:

    Mr Doughty is a very successful member of the Private Equity community, and his company (Doughty Hanson) have pulled off some incredibly shrewd deals. I therefore feel that it’s highly unlikely that Mr Doughty can see a return coming from his Forest investments.

    I am sure that there are very sound tax reasons to make a loan to the club rather than a gift. It also somewhat protects Mr Doughty’s interest in the club from any take over bid (which I know if rather far fetched!), as any Russian billionaire wanting to be the club would have to repay the debts.

    I’ve never actually understood why fans who become rich enough ever buy the club they support. I couldn’t imagine anything worse than having fans on your back demanding you sell the club/inject more cash/sack the board etc, when its the club that you actually love! (I’d rather buy D*rby, asset strip them and send them to the conference!)

  4. Martin Says:

    Anyone investing in football outside the top 5 clubs in this country may as well kiss good bye to their wallet.
    I doubt he came to Forest to make money or even break even, Forest are reflective of the perverse way in which football is funded and supported in the UK.
    It’s surely upto chairman to administer a wage cap at every level? Yes we want success, we are Forest, we are Nottingham. But I’d rather opt for happy Championship rather than prem league oblivion and bust

  5. JG Says:

    Martin, it’s interesting that you’d rather aim for happy Championship than Prem oblivion. I have often wondered what it must be like to support a team in the top flight that has no realistic chance of ever winning (i.e Not a Chelsea, Man U, Arsenal, Liverpool fan). It seems to me that what’s the point if you can’t ever have a chance of winning the title???

    Having said that, it would be great to see us back there!!

  6. codetechnology Says:

    Interesting that such high player costs are tolerated… Under a new system in North America’s National Hockey League (ice hockey) 54% of total league-wide revenues go to the players. The owners had to lock out the players (and lose a season) but it brought sanity to the league. Now the players are being heard talking about how overall revenue can be increased, not how much they will get. Has created a partnership in place of owner/player conflict…

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